Sampling errors seen skewing polls Obama’s way
Not much of a surprise here…various commentators have drilled into polls to take prior note of this. It’s nice to have it consolidated, along with a good graphical chart to illustrate the point:
Ever since the arguably skewed CNN poll of a few weeks back, conservative voters have been looking at the methodology of polling companies with an increasing amount of skepticism. The fact that most polls have used a model that tries to mimic the voter turnout in 2008, when Democrats beat Republican turnout by 7 points (as opposed to presidential elections like 2004, where turnout between the two parties was relatively even), has not improved this state of affairs. …